2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election

2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election

← 2002 November 7, 2006 2010 →
Turnout49.97% Decrease[1] 0.43 pp
 
Nominee Phil Bredesen Jim Bryson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,247,491 540,853
Percentage 68.60% 29.74%

Bredesen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Bryson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      50%

Governor before election

Phil Bredesen
Democratic

Elected Governor

Phil Bredesen
Democratic

The 2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 7, 2006, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic governor Phil Bredesen was re-elected to a second term with 68.6% of the vote, defeating his Republican challenger Jim Bryson. Improving on his performance from 2002, Bredesen also carried every county in the state.

As of 2025, this was the last time a Democrat won a majority of counties in the state, the last time a Democrat won any statewide race in Tennessee, and the most recent statewide election in Tennessee in which 88 of the state's 95 counties, including Knox County and Hamilton County, went to the Democratic candidate. Only Davidson, Shelby, Haywood, Hardeman, Houston, Jackson, and Lake counties have voted for a Democratic candidate in a presidential, Senate, or gubernatorial race since 2006. Eight years after this, Republican governor Bill Haslam would win every county in the state when he won re-election. This marked a sharp political shift in Tennessee.

Background

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Phil Bredesen became governor amid a fiscal crisis, with a predicted state budget shortfall of $800 million. Much of the shortfall was due to TennCare, which was $650 million over budget.[2] Sundquist had hoped to remedy the budget shortfall by implementing an income tax, but this proved wildly unpopular and was never enacted.[3] Bredesen argued that services would have to be cut, saying, "you can't have Massachusetts services and Tennessee taxes."[3] In 2003, he signed a 9% across-the-board spending cut.[2] In 2004, he enacted a series of changes to TennCare, essentially removing 191,000 Medicaid-eligible patients and reducing benefits.[2] By 2006, these changes had reduced the program's cost by more than $500 million.[2] Bredesen used some of the savings to establish a "safety net" for health clinics affected by the cuts. In 2006, he implemented "Cover Tennessee" to cover people with preexisting conditions and the uninsured.[2]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic Party primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Bredesen (incumbent) 393,004 88.50
Democratic John Jay Hooker 31,933 7.19
Democratic Tim Sevier 11,562 2.60
Democratic Walt Ward 7,555 1.70
Total votes 444,054 100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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  • Jim Bryson, state senator
  • David M. Farmer
  • Joe Kirkpatrick
  • Mark Albertini
  • Wayne Thomas Bailey
  • Wayne Young
  • Timothy Thomas

Results

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County results
  Bryson
  •   <40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Farmer
  •   <40%
Republican Primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Bryson 160,786 50.03
Republican David M. Farmer 50,900 15.84
Republican Joe Kirkpatrick 34,491 10.73
Republican Mark Albertini 29,184 9.08
Republican Wayne Thomas Bailey 24,273 7.55
Republican Wayne Young 11,997 3.73
Republican Timothy Thomas 9,747 3.03
Total votes 321,378 100.00

General election

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Candidates

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  • Phil Bredesen (D)
  • Jim Bryson (R)
  • Carl Two Feathers Whitaker (I)
  • George Banks (I)
  • Charles E. Smith (I)
  • Howard W. Switzer (I)
  • David Gatchell (I)
  • Marivuana Stout Leinoff (I)

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Solid D November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe D November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[8] Safe D November 2, 2006
Real Clear Politics[9] Likely D November 6, 2006

Polling

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Source Date Phil
Bredesen (D)
Jim
Bryson (R)
Survey USA[10] October 25, 2006 66% 28%
Survey USA[11] October 10, 2006 63% 32%
Accuratings[12] October 24, 2006 67% 33%
The Commercial Appeal[13] October 3, 2006 63% 22%
Rasmussen[14] October 3, 2006 63% 28%
Rasmussen[15] September 7, 2006 58% 31%
Zogby[16] June 13, 2006 58% 22%

Results

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2006 Tennessee gubernatorial election[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Phil Bredesen (incumbent) 1,247,491 68.60% +17.95%
Republican Jim Bryson 540,853 29.74% −17.85%
Independent Carl Two Feathers Whitaker 11,374 0.63% N/A
Independent George Banks 7,531 0.41% N/A
Independent Charles E. Smith 4,083 0.22% N/A
Independent Howard W. Switzer 2,711 0.15% N/A
Independent David Gatchell 2,385 0.13% N/A
Independent Marivuana Stout Leinoff 2,114 0.12% N/A
Write-in 7 0.00% N/A
Majority 706,638 38.86% +35.80%
Turnout 1,818,549
Democratic hold Swing

By county

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2006". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 7, 2006. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  2. ^ a b c d e "Gov. Phil Bredesen (D)". National Journal Magazine. 2011. Archived from the original on February 16, 2013.
  3. ^ a b Roger Abramson (January 6, 2011). "Phil Bredesen Made a Successful Governor for One Mind-blowing Reason: He Did Just What He Said". The Nashville Scene. Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. Retrieved January 14, 2013.
  4. ^ "August 3, 2006, Democratic Primary: Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 17, 2012. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
  5. ^ "August 3, 2006, Republican Primary: Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 13, 2015. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
  6. ^ "2006 Governor Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved October 1, 2006.
  7. ^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  8. ^ "2006 Gubernatorial Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  9. ^ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  10. ^ Survey USA
  11. ^ Survey USA
  12. ^ Accuratings Archived December 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  13. ^ The Commercial Appeal
  14. ^ Rasmussen
  15. ^ Rasmussen
  16. ^ Zogby
  17. ^ "November 7, 2006, General Election: Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 13, 2015. Retrieved June 27, 2014.
  18. ^ "2006 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 7, 2006. Retrieved February 18, 2023.
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Official campaign websites (Archived)