Draft talk:Information-Implied Volatility

Request for Feedback on Draft: Information-Implied Volatility

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Hello editors,

I am developing the draft article Draft:Information-Implied Volatility and would appreciate feedback regarding notability, sourcing, and structure before submitting it for review.

Summary of Topic

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Information-implied volatility (IIV) is a term used in academic finance to describe the conditional variance of returns based on the arrival of non-price information. The concept is grounded in established research areas such as:

  • Bayesian learning in financial markets
  • The mixture-of-distributions hypothesis
  • Market microstructure models linking information flow to volatility
  • Regime-switching models in econometrics

The draft summarizes how informational inputs—such as macroeconomic announcements, corporate disclosures, textual sentiment, and alternative data—can be incorporated into volatility estimation frameworks.

Notability Justification

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The topic is supported by multiple peer-reviewed academic sources, including articles from:

  • Journal of Finance
  • Econometrica
  • Journal of International Money and Finance
  • Financial text analysis literature
  • Research by Hamilton (1989), Kim & Nelson (1999), Pastor & Veronesi, Clark (1973), and Andersen & Bollerslev (1998)

These works provide extensive secondary-source coverage related to information arrival and volatility.

No Original Research

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The draft does not introduce new formulas or unverified claims. All modeling approaches and mathematical expressions reflect established methodologies from peer-reviewed literature.

Structure and Style

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The draft follows Wikipedia’s Manual of Style for academic articles:

  • Neutral tone
  • Clear section structure
  • Citation templates
  • No promotional language
  • Definitions aligned with usage in published research

Request

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I would welcome comments on:

  • Whether the sources are sufficient for notability
  • Suggested additional secondary sources
  • Improvements to clarity or structure
  • Whether the article is suitable for submission for review

Thank you for your time and assistance.

CroneZone (talk) 02:12, 29 November 2025 (UTC)[reply]