Next Thai general election
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All 500 seats in the House of Representatives 251 seats needed for a majority | |||||
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General elections are scheduled to be held in Thailand no later than 28 June 2027.[a] They will determine the composition of the House of Representatives.
The 2023 general election produced a coalition government. The coalition included conservative, pro-military parties. After an initial attempt by the Move Forward Party failed, Pheu Thai formed governments first under Srettha Thavisin and later under Paetongtarn Shinawatra. Both administrations collapsed, with Thavisin removed by a court ruling in 2024 and Paetongtarn dismissed by the Constitutional Court in 2025.
An election may occur before the scheduled date if the Prime Minister dissolves the House of Representatives for a snap election or if the House passes a motion of no confidence in the government. Early elections are particularly likely during minority governments, as the Prime Minister does not command a majority in the House of Representatives.
In September 2025, an agreement was made between the People's Party and Bhumjaithai Party to support Anutin Charnvirakul as Prime Minister. The agreement requires Anutin to dissolve the House within 4 months after the presentation of the government's policy platform, paving the way for an election in early 2026.[1] In October 2025, Deputy Prime Minister Borwornsak Uwanno proposed 29 March 2026 as the next election's date and constitutional referendum.[2]
Background
[edit]This will be the third election under the 2017 constitution, which was implemented under the National Council for Peace and Order (the junta that took power in the 2014 Thai coup d'état), and the first after the expiration of the constitution's five-year transitory provision that gave the senate voting rights to choose the prime minister in a joint session of parliament. As such, unlike in 2023 when the junta-appointed senate (whose term also ends after five years) blocked the election's winner from forming government, this time the outcome of the election should determine the resulting government.[1][3]
| Affiliation | Members | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elected[4] | Current[5] | Change | ||
| People's | 0 | 143 | ||
| Pheu Thai | 141 | 140 | ||
| Bhumjaithai | 71 | 69 | ||
| United Thai Nation | 36 | 36 | ||
| Kla Tham | 0 | 26 | ||
| Democrat | 25 | 25 | ||
| Palang Pracharath | 40 | 20 | ||
| Chart Thai Pattana | 10 | 10 | ||
| Prachachart | 9 | 9 | ||
| Thai Sang Thai | 6 | 6 | ||
| Chart Pattana | 2 | 3 | ||
| Thai Ruam Palang | 2 | 2 | ||
| Fair Party | 1 | 1 | ||
| Thai Liberal | 1 | 1 | ||
| New Democracy | 1 | 1 | ||
| Thai Progress | 0 | 1 | ||
| Move Forward[b] | 151 | 0 | ||
| New Party | 1 | 0 | ||
| Thai Counties | 1 | 0 | ||
| New Social Power | 1 | 0 | ||
| Teachers for People | 1 | 0 | ||
| Independent[c] | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 500 | 493 | ||
| Vacant | N/A | 7 | ||
| Government majority | N/A | 147 | ||
Electoral system
[edit]As in the 2023 election, the electoral system will follow that of the 2021 amendment of the 2017 constitution. The 500 members of the House of Representatives are elected by parallel voting. 400 seats are elected from single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting and 100 seats by proportional representation. Voters cast separate ballots for the two sets of seats.[6]
Prime ministerial candidates
[edit]Under the 2017 Thai constitution. Prime ministers may only be chosen from a pre-declared list of candidates. Each party may submit up to three names and must have at least 5% (25 members) in the House of Representatives to receive eligibility. Candidates do not have to be a member of parliament (MP).
Referendums
[edit]Alongside the general election, voters will be asked to participate in two referendums, one regarding a proposed rewrite of the country's 2017 Constitution,[7] and another regarding the scrapping of two MOUs with neighboring Cambodia.[8][9][10]
Opinion polls
[edit]
Preferred party
[edit]| Fieldwork date(s) | Polling firm | Sample | PPLE ↑ MFP |
PTP | UTN | BJT | DP | PPRP | Undecided | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–21 November 2025 | Suan Dusit | 1,794 | 26.25% | 12.54% | 2.29% | 22.02% | 12.15% | 2.79% | 10.42% | 11.54% | 4.23% |
| 19–24 September 2025 | NIDA | 2,500 | 33.08% | 13.96% | 6.12% | 13.24% | 5.52% | 1.72% | 21.64% | 4.72% | 19.12% |
| 9–12 September 2025 | SuanDusit | 1,232 | 23.94% | 11.61% | – | 14.20% | 3.17% | 10.39% | 21.35% | 18.51% | 9.74% |
| 5 September 2025 | Anutin Charnvirakul becomes Prime Minister following the removal of Paetongtarn Shinawatra | ||||||||||
| 19–25 June 2025 | NIDA | 2,500 | 46.08% | 11.52% | 13.24% | 9.76% | 2.88% | 2.68% | 7.72% | 6.12% | 32.84% |
| 24–27 March 2025 | NIDA | 2,000 | 37.10% | 28.05% | 8.75% | 3.35% | 3.65% | 1.85% | 13.75% | 3.50% | 9.05% |
| 19–24 December 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 37.30% | 27.70% | 10.60% | 5.15% | 3.40% | 3.05% | 8.20% | 4.60% | 9.60% |
| 16–23 September 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 34.25% | 27.15% | 9.95% | 3.55% | 4.40% | 2.05% | 15.10% | 3.55% | 7.10% |
| 16 August 2024 | Paetongtarn Shinawatra becomes Prime Minister following the removal of Srettha Thavisin | ||||||||||
| 7 August 2024 | The Move Forward Party is dissolved, being succeeded by the People's Party | ||||||||||
| 14–18 June 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 49.20%[d] | 16.85% | 7.55% | 2.20% | 3.75% | 1.75% | 15.00% | 3.70% | 32.35% |
| 7–18 May 2024 | KPI | 1,620 | 44.90%[d] | 20.20% | 10.90% | 3.50% | 3.00% | 3.00% | – | 12.60% | 24.70% |
| 11–13 March 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 48.45%[d] | 22.10% | 5.10% | 1.70% | 3.50% | 2.30% | 12.75% | 4.10% | 26.35% |
| 9–20 December 2023 | SPU | 1,168 | 61.50%[d] | 25.50% | 1.08% | 1.03% | 1.04% | 1.95% | – | 7.90% | 26.00% |
| 13–18 December 2023 | NIDA | 2,000 | 44.05%[d] | 24.05% | 3.20% | 1.75% | 3.60% | 1.45% | 16.10% | 6.00% | 20.00% |
| 22–24 August 2023 | SPU | 1,253 | 62.00%[d] | 12.87% | 9.27% | 4.39% | 1.86% | 2.00% | – | 7.61% | 49.13% |
| 14 May 2023 | 2023 election | – | 37.99%[d] | 28.84% | 12.54% | 2.99% | 2.43% | 1.41% | – | 13.80% | 9.15% |
Preferred prime minister
[edit]| Fieldwork date(s) | Polling firm | Sample | Natthaphong | Chaikasem | Paethongtarn | Pirapan | Anutin | Sudarat | Prawit | Undecided | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–24 September 2025 | NIDA | 2,500 | 22.80 | 6.76 | – | 2.72 | 20.44 | 7.16 | — | 27.28 | 12.84 | 4.48 |
| 19–25 June 2025 | NIDA | 2,500 | 31.48 | 9.20 | 6.48 | 9.64 | 6.12 | 1.48 | 19.88 | 3.00 | 21.84 | |
| 24–27 March 2025 | NIDA | 2,000 | 25.80 | 30.90 | 8.45 | 2.85 | 3.90 | 1.20 | 23.70 | 3.20 | 5.10 | |
| 19–24 December 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 29.85 | 28.80 | 10.25 | 6.45 | 4.95 | 1.70 | 14.40 | 3.60 | 1.05 | |
| 16–23 September 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 22.90 | 31.35 | 8.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 | 1.15 | 23.50 | 3.65 | 8.45 | |
| Fieldwork date(s) | Polling firm | Sample | Pita | Srettha | Paethongtarn | Pirapan | Anutin | Sudarat | Prawit | Undecided | Others | Lead |
| 14–18 June 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 45.50 | 12.85 | 4.85 | 6.85 | 2.05 | 3.40 | — | 20.55 | 3.95 | 24.95 |
| 7–18 May 2024 | KPI | 1,620 | 46.90 | 8.70 | 10.50 | – | 3.30 | – | 0.40 | – | 30.50 | 36.40 |
| 11–13 March 2024 | NIDA | 2,000 | 42.45 | 17.75 | 6.00 | 3.55 | 1.45 | 2.90 | 1.05 | 20.05 | 4.80 | 22.40 |
| 13–18 December 2023 | NIDA | 2,000 | 39.40 | 22.35 | 5.75 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 1.65 | — | 18.60 | 8.15 | 17.05 |
Government approval
[edit]| Fieldwork date(s) | Polling firm | Sample size | Approve | Disapprove | Neither | Others | Net approval | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24–26 February 2025 | NIDA | 1,310 | 45.42 | 54.58 | – | – | –9.16 | Paetongtarn's Cabinet |
| 9–11 September 2024 | NIDA | 1,310 | 41.30 | 57.94 | – | 0.76 | –16.64 | |
| 4–5 June 2024 | NIDA | 1,310 | 32.59 | 66.04 | – | 1.37 | –33.45 | Srettha's Cabinet |
Notes
[edit]- ^ While elections in Thailand are customarily held on a Sunday, there is no constitutional requirement to do so; the latest possible date for a general election to be held is the 45th day following the expiration of the House of Representatives four-year term or 45th-60th day in the case of House of Representatives dissolution.
- ^ The party was dissolved by the Constitutional Court on 7 August 2024.
- ^ Under Thai law, a member of the House of Representatives must be officially affiliated with a political party. However, if for any reason their party membership is rescinded, they can be without a party for up to thirty days. During the thirty days, they must find a new party to affiliate with or their membership of parliament will end.
- ^ a b c d e f g As Move Forward Party, People's Party's de facto predecessor
References
[edit]- ^ a b Sattaburuth, Aekarach (19 February 2024). "Representatives of Thai public to succeed junta-appointed senators". Bangkok Post. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
- ^ Sattaburuth, Aekarach (2025-10-15). "March 29 proposed as Thai election date". Bangkok Post. Retrieved 2025-10-15.
- ^ "Thailand falls 8 places in Democracy Index". Bangkok Post. 17 February 2024. Retrieved 24 February 2024.
- ^ "เช็กผลคะแนนเลือกตั้ง 66 เรียลไทม์". Thai PBS (in Thai). Retrieved 11 October 2023.
- ^ "26th House of Representatives Map". Secretariat of the House of Representatives. Retrieved 23 November 2023.
- ^ "Thai Parliament passes election changes favouring ruling party". The Business Times. 10 September 2021. Archived from the original on 13 September 2021. Retrieved 26 June 2020.
- ^ "Constitutional Court rules three referenda are needed for charter rewrite". Thai PBS World. Retrieved 16 October 2025.
- ^ "Thai PM proposes referendum to revoke Cambodia border deals". South China Morning Post. Retrieved 16 October 2025.
- ^ "Anutin confirms referendum plan on Cambodian border MOUs". The Nation Thailand. 30 September 2025. Retrieved 16 October 2025.
- ^ "Referendum gamble on Cambodia MOUs could backfire". Thai PBS World. October 9, 2025. Retrieved 16 October 2025.