Draft:September 13-15, 2025 North American tornado outbreak

  • Comment: This has been declined several times before; the templates were removed. I personally don't think this is notable as I don't see WP:SUSTAINED coverage of the event but I won't review it. EF5 16:02, 19 September 2025 (UTC)


The September 13-15 tornado outbreak was caused by a powerful extratropical cyclone that produced widespread, linear tornado damage across North Dakota, Kansas, Iowa, and South Dakota with Texas receiving hurricane-force wind gusts. It lasted for 8 hours, and produced moderate damaging tornadoes and small scale cyclonic winds. The cyclone's winds were way below normal for a extratropical cyclone. The outbreak was historic, with more tornadoes recorded than North Dakota had seen for 3 decades combined[1]

Confirmed tornadoes by Enhanced Fujita rating
EFU EF0 EF1 EF2 EF3 EF4 EF5 Total
1 0 20 2 0 0 0 23
|
Draft:September 13-15, 2025 North American tornado outbreak
Meteorological history
FormedSeptember 13, 2025
DissipatedSeptember 16, 2025
Extratropical cyclone
1-minute sustained (SSHWS/NWS)
Highest winds90 km/h (55 mph)
Highest gusts125 km/h (80 mph)
Lowest pressure1005 hPa (mbar); 29.68 inHg
Lowest temperature−2.7 °C (27.14 °F)
Largest hail4.445 cm (1.750 in)
Maximum rainfall6.1976 cm (2.440 in)
Maximum snowfall or ice accretion0.254 cm (0.1000 in)

A area of low pressure formed over the Central Plains ahead of a warm front that was moving toward North Dakota, moving up across the North Dakota border toward Canada, causing squalls on Lake Erie gusting to 35 kts (40 mph).

Storm development

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At 5:00 PM UTC, thunderstorms started developing in south central North Dakota due to extremely high low-level shear, seasonal dew points of 64-70 °F (17.7-21.1 °C), and jet stream influence.[2]

Tornado watch issuance

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At 6:10 PM UTC, a tornado watch was issued because the atmosphere was becoming extremely favorable for strong, long-tracked tornadoes.[2]

First warnings

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Next, at 7:22 PM and 7:25 PM UTC respectively, two PDS tornado warnings were issued, each causing damage to multiple elementary schools in suburban Bismarck.[3]

Later on, over 20 tornado warnings were issued as the outbreak magnified in intensity with storms merging into each other and influencing as they were less than 1 mi (0.6 km) apart.[3]

Results

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References

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  1. ^ "Rare September tornado outbreak slams the north central US". AccuWeather. September 15, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.
  2. ^ a b "The only change with this update was a minor westward expansion of the Slight Risk in the Dakotas, driven by 5-percent tornado and wind probabilities (within Tornado Watch 610). Here, a concentrated corridor of enhanced low-level vorticity accompanying a northward-moving MCV will continue to support embedded low-level mesocyclones with a risk of a couple tornadoes. In the near-term, the tornado risk should generally be maximized in the path of the MCV. With time, additional development will be possible along a warm front draped across parts of south-central and southeastern ND -- aided by a strengthening low-level jet and diurnal heating of a moist boundary layer (lower 70s dewpoints). Any sustained storms in the vicinity of the warm front may become superceullular and pose a risk of a couple tornadoes, given the favorable/strengthening low-level shear and destabilizing boundary layer." (Quoted from: SPC Convective Outlook Archive )
  3. ^ a b "Iowa Environmental Mesonet - Tornado Warning Archive for September 14, 2025". Iowa Environmental Mesonet. September 14, 2025. Retrieved September 15, 2025.