2025 Bolivian general election

2025 Bolivian general election

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Presidential election

Nominee Eduardo del Castillo Samuel Doria Medina Jorge Quiroga Party MAS-IPSP Unidad Libre Running mate Milán Berna José Luis Lupo Juan Pablo Velasco   Nominee Manfred Reyes Villa Andrónico Rodríguez Jaime Dunn Party APB Súmate FP NGP Running mate Juan Carlos Medrano Felipe Quispe Edgar Uriona   Nominee Eva Copa Rodrigo Paz Pereira Jhonny Fernández Party MORENA PDC FP Running mate Damián Condori Edman Lara Edwin Rodríguez

President before election Luis Arce MAS-IPSP Elected President TBD

Legislative election

All 36 seats in the Chamber of Senators All 130 seats in the Chamber of Deputies

Party Seats +/– Chamber of Senators MAS-IPSP Civic Community Creemos Chamber of Deputies MAS-IPSP Civic Community Creemos This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. If no candidate secures a majority, a second round will take place on 19 October 2025.^[1] Voters will elect the President of Bolivia and Vice President of Bolivia, 130 members of the Chamber of Deputies, and 36 members of the Chamber of Senators.

Background

The election is being held amid a schism within the ruling Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) between incumbent president Luis Arce and former president Evo Morales. The former allies fell out following Arce's election in 2020, when Morales, who had been in exile following political unrest caused by his reelection bid in 2019, returned and tried to regain control of the party's leadership.^[2] In late 2024 and early 2025, shortages of essential goods – including gasoline, diesel, basic foodstuffs and medicine – caused further dissatisfaction with the Arce government.^[3][4]

Right-leaning political parties formed a Unity Bloc to oppose Arce; its candidates included Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge Quiroga. Morales announced his intention to run as the candidate of the Front for Victory (FPV) despite a ban on him running again for president by the Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal.^[5] The government responded by deregistering the FPV, citing its failure to meet the mandatory 3% threshold in the previous election.^[6]

On 14 May 2025, President Arce announced that he declined to seek a second term.^[7][8] Government minister Eduardo del Castillo was nominated by MAS in his place. On 16 May, demonstrators attempting to register Morales as a candidate clashed with police in La Paz.^[9][10]

Several candidates, including Quiroga and Chung, attempted to register their campaigns under minor party labels. Quiroga's Revolutionary Left Front (FRI) and Chung's Revolutionary Nationalist Movement (MNR) historically took differing ideological stances from those of their candidates.^[11]

Candidates

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Presidential candidate		Experience	Vice Presidential candidate
	MORENA	List National Renewal Movement (MORENA)		Eva Copa (age 38)	Mayor of El Alto (2021–present) President of the Chamber of Senators (2019–2020) Senator for La Paz (2015–2020)	Jorge Richter
	MAS-IPSP	List Movement for Socialism – Political Instrument for the Sovereignty of the Peoples (MAS-IPSP)		Eduardo del Castillo (age 36)	Minister of Government (2020–2025)	Milan Berna
	Unidad	List National Unity Front (UN) We Believe (Creemos)		Samuel Doria Medina (age 66)	Minister of Planning and Coordination (1991–1993) Presidential candidate in 2005, 2009 and 2014	José Luis Lupo
	NGP	List New Patriotic Generation (NGP)		Jaime Dunn (age 57)	Financial adviser	Edgar Uriona Veizaga
	FP	List Solidarity Civic Unity (UCS) Popular Original Movement (MOP)		Jhonny Fernández (age 61)	Mayor of Santa Cruz de la Sierra (1995–2002, 2021–present) Presidential candidate in 2002	Felipe Quispe
	PDC	List Christian Democratic Party (PDC)		Rodrigo Paz Pereira (age 57)	Senator for Tarija (2020–present) Mayor of Tarija (2015–2020) Deputy for Tarija (2002–2009)	Edman Lara
	Libre	List Revolutionary Left Front (FRI) Social Democratic Movement (Demócratas)		Jorge Quiroga (age 65)	62nd President of Bolivia (2001–2002) 36th Vice President of Bolivia (1997–2001) Minister of Finance (1992) Presidential candidate in 2005 and 2014	Juan Pablo Velasco
	APB Súmate	List Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (APB Súmate)		Manfred Reyes Villa (age 70)	Mayor of Cochabamba (1994–2000, 2021–present) Prefect of Cochabamba (2006–2008) Presidential candidate in 2002 and 2009	Juan Carlos Medrano
	LP	List Nationalist Democratic Action (ADN) We Are All Pando (PST) Autonomous Nationalities for the Change and Revolutionary Empowerment (NACER)		Paulo Rodríguez Folster (age 51)	President of the GV San José (2022–present)	Antonio Saravia
	AP	List Third System Movement (MTS) Socialist Revolutionary Party (PSR) Autonomist Movement for Work and Stability (MATE)

Disqualified

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy or have declared their interest, but have been declared ineligible by the TCP or are otherwise unable to run.

• Chi Hyun Chung (AMAR), physician and presidential candidate in 2019^{[citation needed]}
• Evo Morales (EVO Pueblo), 65th President of Bolivia (2006–2019)^[12]

• 
  Physician
  Chi Hyun Chung
• 
  65th President of Bolivia
  Evo Morales

Declined

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running:

• Luis Arce (MAS-IPSP), president of Bolivia (2020–present)^[13][14][7]
• Amparo Ballivián, former minister of Housing^[15]
• Luis Fernando Camacho (Creemos), Governor of Santa Cruz (2021–2024)^[16] (in prison)^[17]
• Vicente Cuéllar (Cambio25), rector of the Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University^[18]
• Rubén Costas (MDS), governor of the department of Santa Cruz (2015–2021)^[19]
• Carlos Mesa (CC), former president of Bolivia (2003–2005)^[20][21]
• Branko Marinković (ADN), former minister of Economy and Public Finance (2020)^[22]
• Eduardo Rodríguez Veltzé (Independent), former president of Bolivia (2005-2006)^[23]
• Jaime Soliz (PDC), former prosecutor of the department of Santa Cruz (2005–2010)^[24]

• 
  President of Bolivia
  Luis Arce
• 
  Former governor of Santa Cruz
  Luis Fernando Camacho
• 
  Former president of Bolivia
  Carlos Mesa

Opinion polls

After registration of candidacies

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size
			Andrónico AP	Castillo MAS	Copa MORENA	Paz PDC	Fernández FP	D. Medina Unidad	Quiroga Libre	Folster LP	Dunn NGP	R. Villa APB Súmate

Before registration of candidacies

Source	Date	Sample	Link	Morales FPV	Quiroga FRI	Reyes Villa APB Súmate	Rodríguez MAS	Doria Medina FUN	Chung MNR	Arce MAS	Choquehuanca MAS	Cuellar Cambio25	Others	Null Blank	Undecided	Lead
15 May 2025				Bolivia's United Nations delegation announces its nomination of David Choquehuanca as UN Secretary-General.[25]
14 May 2025				Bolivia constitutional court upholds ruling blocking Evo Morales' election eligibility. [26]
13 May 2025				Luis Arce withdraws his candidacy for re-election.[7]
Panterra	30 Mar 2025	5,000	[27]	–	15%	11%	25%	16%	13%	–	–	–	–	–	20%	9%
Captura Consulting	27 Mar 2025	1,500	[28]	–	16%	13%	18%	17%	11%	1%	–	–	4%	–	14%	1%
8 Mar 2025				Vicente Cuellar withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Doria Medina.[29]
26 Feb 2025				Luis Arce announces his candidacy pending final decision from MAS.[14]
20 Feb 2025				Evo Morales announces his intention to run for president.[30]
UAGRM	14 Feb 2025	2,200	[31]	14%	8%	15%	10%	10%	14%	2%	–	1%	4%	–	7%	1%
Captura Consulting	23 Jan-7 Feb	–	[32]	8%	19%	13%	–	16%	13%	2%	–	–	9%	–	19%	3%
Bolivia360	5-21 Jan 2025	2,000	[33]	–	9%	15%	16%	8%	13%	2%	–	2%	7%	_	8%	1%
Diagnosis	11-12 Jan 2025	1,800	[34]	9%	10%	15%	10%	9%	5%	7%	2%	3%	13%	5%	10%	2%
5 Jan 2025				Manfred Reyes Villa announces his candidacy.[35]

2021–2024

Date	Polling firm	Evo Morales MAS	Carlos Mesa CC	Andrónico Rodríguez MAS	Maria Galindo Ind.	Reyes Villa Súmate	Luis Arce MAS	Chi Hyun Ind.	Fernando Camacho Creemos	Jorge Quiroga Libre 21	Eva Copa Ind.	Doria Medina FUN	Vicente Cuellar Cambio25	Jsime Soliz PDC	Marcelo Claure Ind.	Edman Lara NIL	Rodrigo Paz CC	David Choquehuanca MAS	Undecided	Lead
15 Nov 2024	Consultora Morris	-	1%	25%	-	35%	12%	1%	6%	14%	-	2%	0.8%	-	-	-	0.2%	-	-	10%
2-15 Nov 2024	Panterra	17%	6%	-	-	18%	4%	-	9%	9%	-	13%	-	-	-	-		-	21%	1%
Sep 2024	Diagonsis	10%	8%	10%	-	10%	16%	-	4%	-	-	4%	9%	-	-	-		3%	9%	6%
Jun 2024	Captura Consulting	-	6%	13%	10%	13%	-	6%	10%	4%	-	9%	5%	-	-	3%		-	19%	0
May 2024	Diagnosis	9%	9%	7%		5%	19%	-	3%	-	-	2%	7%	-	-	-	-	-	10%	12%
Apr 2024	Coolosa Comunicaciones	7.73%	7.52%	0.79%	5.80%	11.06%	8.79%	-	1.71%	3.86%	1.25%	5.95%	10.77%	1.29%	-	5.04%	2.82%	-	4.22%	0.83%
16-17 Mar 2024	Diagnosis	12%	10%	7%	-	2%	17%	-	2%	-	-	4%	9%	-	-		-	-	-	5%
15 Mar 2024	Captura Consulting	-	8%	11%	7%	12%	16%	2%	7%	-	-	9%	3%	-	7%		-	-	18%	4%
Nov 2023	Diagnosis	11%	12%	-	-	3%	21%	-	4%	-	-	5%	9%	-	-		-	-	12%	9%
9-10 Sep 2023	Diagnosis	9%	11%	-	-	4%	18%	-	4%	-	-	6%	9%	-	-		-	-	14%	7%
19-20 Aug 2023	Diagnosis	10%	13%	3%	-	3%	14%	-	2%	-	-	4%	6%	-	-		-	-	18%	1%
Aug 2023	Poder y Placer	11%	10%	-	6%	8%	12%	-	9%	-	2%	9%	3%	-	4%		-	1%	24%	1%
8-9 Jul 2023	Diagnosis	9%	13%	-	-	3%	14%	-	2%	-	-	4%	6%	-	-		-	-	-	1%
22 May-22 Jun 2023	Poder y Placer	12%	13%	-	10%	4%	17%	-	1%	2%	8%	13%	1%	-	3%		1%	2%	-	4%
29 Dec 2022-19 Jan 2023	Poder y Placer	11%	19%	-	2%	9%	21%	-	13%	-	-	19%	-	-	13%		-	-	7%	2%
Jul 2022	Captura Consulting	11%	11%	-	-	-	18%	-	8%	5%	3%	3%	-	-	-		-	-	-	7%
9-19 Apr 2022	Captura Consulting	11%	11%	-	-	10%	17%	-	15%	7%	5%	4%	-	3%	-		-	-	20%	2%
Dec 2021	Captura Consulting	-	13%	-	-	12%	23%	-	15%	3%		-	7%	-	-		-	-	-	8%

See also

• 2024 Bolivian coup attempt

References

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